
Dollar Advances as Investors Position for Federal Reserve Decision
The U.S. dollar gained ground on Tuesday as traders prepared for a widely expected interest-rate cut from the Federal Reserve. The move comes as markets brace for several central bank announcements in the days ahead, adding volatility across major currencies.
The dollar rose after new labor-market data showed a modest increase in U.S. job openings for October. Federal data indicated 7.67 million available positions, slightly above expectations. Hiring activity remained soft, but stronger-than-forecast openings helped lift the greenback.
The dollar climbed to 156.735 yen and pushed the euro down to roughly $1.1619.
Investors Focus on Fed Outlook for 2026
With a rate cut viewed as nearly certain this week, attention has shifted to how policymakers view the path forward. Markets are reassessing expectations for 2026 as doubts grow about whether Kevin Hassett — considered a leading candidate to replace Jerome Powell when his term ends in May — would lean as dovish as some investors hope.
Analysts expect what some call a “hawkish cut,” meaning a reduction in the benchmark rate accompanied by cautious messaging. Such an approach would likely keep short-term Treasury yields supported and limit downward pressure on the dollar through the end of the year.
The U.S. dollar index edged up to 99.22.
Fed Projections to Be Scrutinized
Markets will closely watch the Fed’s updated “dot plot,” which charts policymakers’ interest-rate expectations. In September, projections pointed to a 3.6 percent policy rate by late 2025, 3.4 percent by the end of 2026, and 3.1 percent in 2027.
Any downward adjustment could weigh on the dollar, though analysts note diverging views among Fed officials heading into 2026.
Euro Slips After ECB Comments
The euro weakened further after a decline in German bund markets. A European Central Bank board member said the bank’s next policy adjustment could be an interest-rate hike rather than a cut, though emphasized that no change was imminent.
Australian Dollar Strengthens After RBA Signals No Easing
The Australian dollar saw a lift after the Reserve Bank of Australia held its benchmark rate steady for a third straight month at 3.6 percent. The central bank warned that inflation pressures could persist and indicated that additional rate cuts are not needed at this time.
The Australian dollar traded around $0.6647, continuing to gain during remarks from RBA leadership.
Yen Moves on Earthquake Risk and Safe-Haven Demand
The yen strengthened briefly in Asian trading following a powerful 7.5 earthquake in northern Japan. The event added to risk-averse sentiment as investors awaited central bank decisions worldwide. Japan’s five-year government bond auction also attracted strong demand.
Other Currency and Crypto Movements
The offshore Chinese yuan was steady near 7.0622 per dollar as markets reacted to recent government meetings signaling no major stimulus shifts.
Elsewhere:
• British pound: slightly lower at $1.3312
• New Zealand dollar: up to about $0.5794
• Bitcoin: down 0.1 percent at $91,601
• Ether: up 0.5 percent at $3,168
Related Coverage
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